NCAAB
Washington State
0-2
Duquesne
2-0
Win Probability
Washington State travels to face undefeated Duquesne in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the host. The Dukes have won both their games to start the season, while the Commodores arrive winless, and AccuScore leans decisively toward the home side. Duquesne's depth will be tested early; the visitors have shown vulnerability on the road, and in games shaped this way, the favoured team has won 68% of the time. Washington State would need a strong offensive performance and better ball security than they've managed so far to pull off the upset. If Duquesne's role players combine for efficient shooting, the Dukes should control the game throughout.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | DUQ | EV | WSU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -250 | -3.5% | +205 | +1.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -230 | -2.4% | +188 | -1.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -235 | -2.7% | +190 | -1.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -371 | -7.9% | +147 | -8.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -1.3% | -110 | -3.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -1.3% | -110 | -3.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 148 | -110 | -2.4% | -110 | -2.0% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 33.6%
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AccuScore's simulation makes Duquesne 66% to beat Washington State (34%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Duquesne the more likely winner at 66%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Duquesne a 66% chance of beating Washington State, against 34% for Washington State. Duquesne are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Washington State (0-2 so far) project to finish 10.4–20.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Duquesne (1-0 so far) project to finish 14.1–15.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington State | 10.4–20.6 | 1% | 3% |
| Duquesne | 14.1–15.9 | 1% | 2% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Washington State and Duquesne come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Washington State have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).