NCAAB
Bradley
1-1
Davidson
2-0
Win Probability
Bradley travels to Davidson in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the hosts. Davidson's depth should control tempo; the projection hinges on whether Bradley can generate enough perimeter scoring to stay close, a test the Braves have not yet passed this season. In 781 games where AccuScore leaned this heavily toward one side, that side won 92% of the time. For Bradley to pull the upset, its guards would need to shoot at the highest end of their ranges while Davidson's interior game misfires—unlikely given the hosts' early-season consistency.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | DAV | EV | BRAD | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -800 | -4.2% | +550 | +10.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -780 | -4.0% | +530 | +8.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -750 | -3.8% | +525 | +7.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -3582 | -8.1% | +110 | -30.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 140.5 | -110 | -2.1% | -110 | -2.5% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 140.5 | -110 | -2.1% | -110 | -2.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 141 | -110 | -3.3% | -110 | -1.2% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Davidson 82% to beat Bradley (19%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Davidson the more likely winner at 82%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Davidson a 82% chance of beating Bradley, against 19% for Bradley. Davidson are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Bradley (0-1 so far) project to finish 15.4–13.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 13% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Davidson (2-0 so far) project to finish 20.7–11.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Bradley and Davidson come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.