NCAAB
La Salle
1-1
Villanova
1-1
Win Probability
La Salle travels to face Villanova in a matchup where the simulation strongly favors the home side. In 560 games shaped this way, AccuScore's pick won 97 percent of the time. Villanova will need to control the boards and limit La Salle's three-point attempts to keep pace with the projected tempo; La Salle's path to an upset runs through forcing turnovers and staying within striking distance through the first half. For the Explorers to pull off the upset, they would need efficient shooting early and for Villanova to have an uncharacteristically cold night from outside.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | VILL | EV | LAS | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -9000 | -0.8% | +2500 | -16.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -10000 | -0.8% | +2400 | -17.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -10000 | -0.8% | +3000 | -9.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -5721 | -0.4% | +262 | -45.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 156.5 | -115 | -3.6% | -105 | -0.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 155.5 | -108 | +0.2% | -112 | -4.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 156.5 | -115 | -3.6% | -105 | -0.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 156 | -110 | -1.4% | -110 | -3.0% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Villanova 97% to beat La Salle (3%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Villanova the more likely winner at 97%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Villanova a 97% chance of beating La Salle, against 3% for La Salle. Villanova are at home and favoured on these numbers.
La Salle (1-1 so far) project to finish 10.0–19.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Villanova (1-0 so far) project to finish 17.2–12.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 47% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How La Salle and Villanova come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.