NCAAB
Northern Arizona
0-2
#12Arizona
1-1
Win Probability
Moneyline
NAU
0.1% win prob
Moneyline
ARIZ
99.9% win prob
Northern Arizona visits Arizona in a contest where the simulation decisively favors the home team. Dylan Anderson of Northern Arizona has a 49% chance of exceeding 17 combined points, rebounds and assists, but Arizona's depth presents a steeper challenge: Ivan Kharchenkov projects at 48% to surpass 29, while RJ Godfrey sits at 49% for more than 24. The game turns on whether Northern Arizona can generate enough offensive production to stay within range, as Arizona's scoring potential spans multiple contributors. In 560 graded games where the model leaned this heavily toward one side, that side won 97% of the time. A Northern Arizona upset would require sustained three-level scoring and unusual efficiency from a 0-2 team facing a balanced home roster.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Arizona 100% to beat Northern Arizona (0%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Arizona the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Arizona a 100% chance of beating Northern Arizona, against 0% for Northern Arizona. Arizona are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Northern Arizona (0-2 so far) project to finish 6.8–21.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Arizona (1-1 so far) project to finish 21.0–9.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 90% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Arizona | 6.8–21.2 | 1% | 1% |
| Arizona | 21.0–9.0 | 17% | 90% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Northern Arizona and Arizona come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Northern Arizona have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Arizona have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 2 times since 2017: Northern Arizona 0, Arizona 2. The last meeting, on Nov 10, 2025, finished Northern Arizona 49, Arizona 84.