NCAAB
Weber State
0-2
Utah
2-0
Win Probability
Weber State travels to Utah as a clear underdog in a matchup where the simulation strongly favours the Utes. Utah's depth gives it a decisive advantage, though Weber State has shown enough to keep the game competitive if its shooters get hot early. The decisive factor is Utah's ability to dominate on the boards and in transition; Weber State will need to force turnovers and stay within striking distance through the second half to have a realistic path to an upset. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's favoured side has won 97% of 560 graded matchups. For the Wildcats to pull off the upset, they would need to limit Utah's pace and get contributions from their perimeter players when it matters most.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | UTAH | EV | WEB | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -55290 | -2.9% | +225 | -40.4% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Utah 94% to beat Weber State (6%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah the more likely winner at 94%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Utah a 94% chance of beating Weber State, against 6% for Weber State. Utah are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Weber State (0-2 so far) project to finish 10.4–19.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Utah (2-0 so far) project to finish 14.2–17.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 10% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weber State | 10.4–19.6 | 3% | 3% |
| Utah | 14.2–17.8 | <1% | 10% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Weber State and Utah come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Weber State have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Utah have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2025: Weber State 0, Utah 1. The last meeting, on Nov 7, 2025, finished Weber State 89, Utah 92.