NCAAB•Wed, Nov 11 • 2:00 AM

UTU

Utah Tech

1-1

USU

Utah State

2-0

Win Probability

Moneyline

UTU

+170

1.6% win prob

EV -47.8%

Polymarket

Moneyline

USU

-5429

98.4% win prob

EV +0.1%

Polymarket

Analysis

Utah Tech travels to face Utah State in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the host. The Aggies project to 89.6 points, with their offence built around contributions from multiple scorers, while Utah Tech's 64.9 projected total reflects the visitors' struggle to generate consistent scoring. This game turns on Utah Tech's ability to score; the simulation has given them only a 2% path to victory, and in 560 prior games where AccuScore leaned this strongly one direction, the favoured side won 97% of the time. For Utah Tech to pull off the upset, they would need to exceed their offensive projection substantially and limit Utah State well below the 89-point mark.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadUSU -24.5

5.5-24.75-55

UTU Cover

50.3%

no odds at this line

USU Cover

49.7%

no odds at this line

Total (Over/Under)O/U 154.5

117.5156.75196

Over Cover

49.5%

no odds at this line

Under Cover

50.5%

no odds at this line

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

4.3%UTU

Tied 1.0%

USU94.7%

1st Half SpreadUSU -14.5

6-14-34

UTU Cover

50.7%

no odds at this line

USU Cover

49.3%

no odds at this line

1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 74

547494

Over Cover

47.6%

no odds at this line

Under Cover

48.1%

no odds at this line

Push 4.3% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

USU UTU

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EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

Book	USU	EV	UTU	EV
Polymarket ↗	-5429	+0.1%	+170	-47.8%

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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NCAAB

Utah Tech vs Utah State Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Tue, Nov 10, 2026, 9:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Utah State 98% to beat Utah Tech (2%).

Projection updated Nov 9, 4:46 PM ET

Who will win Utah Tech vs Utah State?

AccuScore's simulation makes Utah State the more likely winner at 98%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Utah State beat Utah Tech?

AccuScore's simulation gives Utah State a 98% chance of beating Utah Tech, against 2% for Utah Tech. Utah State are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Season outlook

Utah Tech (0-1 so far) project to finish 12.5–16.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Utah State (2-0 so far) project to finish 22.6–8.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 67% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Conference title	Playoffs
Utah Tech	12.5–16.5	8%	7%
Utah State	22.6–8.4	23%	67%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Utah Tech and Utah State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Utah TechL

Nov 2at New MexicoL 60–100

Utah Tech have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).

Utah StateWW

Nov 7vs OmahaW 90–56
Nov 2vs Idaho StateW 94–58

Utah State have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).