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NCAAB

Hofstra vs Arizona State Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Tue, Nov 10, 2026, 9:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NCAAB•Wed, Nov 11 • 2:00 AM
HOF

Hofstra

1-1

VS
ASU

Arizona State

2-0

Win Probability

Moneyline

HOF

+245

11.5% win prob

EV -30.2%

Polymarket

Moneyline

ASU

-10969

88.5% win prob

EV -5.3%

Polymarket

Analysis

Arizona State hosts Hofstra in a game where the simulation strongly favours the Sun Devils. AccuScore's model leans decisively toward ASU, and in 781 games shaped similarly, the favoured side won 92 per cent. The Sun Devils' depth will likely prove decisive; across eight comparable matchups, the model's side won seven times. Hofstra must generate efficient perimeter shooting and force turnovers to stay within striking distance—the game hinges on whether the visiting side can keep the pace and total possessions down. If the Sun Devils' transition game misfires and Hofstra's defence limits Arizona State to well below its projection, an upset remains possible.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadASU -13.5
16.5-13.75-44
HOF Cover
51.5%
no odds at this line
ASU Cover
48.5%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 137
98.5138.75179
Over Cover
47.6%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
49.7%
no odds at this line
Push 2.7% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

17.7%HOF
Tied 3.2%
ASU79.1%
1st Half SpreadASU -7.5
13-7-27
HOF Cover
50.8%
no odds at this line
ASU Cover
49.2%
no odds at this line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 64
446484
Over Cover
48.6%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
47.6%
no odds at this line
Push 3.8% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

ASU HOF
Sort:

EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookASUEVHOFEV
Polymarket ↗-10969-5.3%+245-30.2%

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes Arizona State 89% to beat Hofstra (12%).

Projection updated Nov 9, 4:46 PM ET

Who will win Hofstra vs Arizona State?

AccuScore's simulation makes Arizona State the more likely winner at 89%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Arizona State beat Hofstra?

AccuScore's simulation gives Arizona State a 89% chance of beating Hofstra, against 12% for Hofstra. Arizona State are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every Hofstra vs Arizona State meeting →Hofstra predictions & record →Arizona State predictions & record →

Season outlook

Hofstra (0-1 so far) project to finish 19.0–11.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 29% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Arizona State (2-0 so far) project to finish 17.4–14.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 35% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordConference titlePlayoffs
Hofstra19.0–11.032%29%
Arizona State17.4–14.61%35%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Hofstra and Arizona State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

HofstraL
  • Nov 5at PrincetonL 58–60

Hofstra have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).

Arizona StateWW
  • Nov 6vs Northern ColoradoW 90–63
  • Nov 2vs East Tennessee StateW 75–65

Arizona State have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).