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NCAAB

UL Monroe vs TCU Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Tue, Nov 10, 2026, 9:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NCAAB•Wed, Nov 11 • 2:00 AM
ULM

UL Monroe

1-1

VS
TCU

TCU

2-0

Win Probability

Moneyline

ULM

0.1% win prob

Moneyline

TCU

99.9% win prob

Analysis

TCU hosts UL Monroe in a matchup the simulation favors decisively. The Horned Frogs' depth should control the tempo; their lead scorer projects to exceed 20 points in 73% of outcomes, while their second option clears 15 in 68%. UL Monroe's path to an upset runs through three-point shooting—the visitors would need to keep pace from distance while forcing turnovers, since a pace-and-space attack is their only leverage against TCU's interior. AccuScore's model has won 97% of 560 games when favoring one side this strongly. For the Warhawks to pull off the upset, their perimeter attack would have to connect at an elite clip while limiting second-chance opportunities.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadTCU -33.5
-3.5-34.25-65
ULM Cover
51.6%
no odds at this line
TCU Cover
48.4%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 159.5
119.5159.75200
Over Cover
48.8%
EV -4.4%
-115theScore Bet ↗
Under Cover
51.2%
EV -0.0%
-105theScore Bet ↗

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

1.2%ULM
Tied 0.6%
TCU98.2%
1st Half SpreadTCU -19
1-19-39
ULM Cover
48.3%
no odds at this line
TCU Cover
46.9%
no odds at this line
Push 4.8% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 76.5
577797
Over Cover
50.9%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
49.1%
no odds at this line

Player Props

TCU ULM
Sort:

EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.

Odds Comparison

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
theScore Bet ↗159.5-115-4.4%-105-0.0%

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes TCU 100% to beat UL Monroe (0%).

Projection updated Nov 9, 4:46 PM ET

Who will win UL Monroe vs TCU?

AccuScore's simulation makes TCU the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will TCU beat UL Monroe?

AccuScore's simulation gives TCU a 100% chance of beating UL Monroe, against 0% for UL Monroe. TCU are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every UL Monroe vs TCU meeting →UL Monroe predictions & record →TCU predictions & record →

Season outlook

UL Monroe (0-1 so far) project to finish 4.8–24.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TCU (2-0 so far) project to finish 21.3–8.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 77% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordConference titlePlayoffs
UL Monroe4.8–24.2<1%<1%
TCU21.3–8.78%77%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How UL Monroe and TCU come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

UL MonroeL
  • Nov 2vs Central MichiganL 78–83

UL Monroe have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).

TCUWW
  • Nov 6vs SouthernW 106–54
  • Nov 2vs LindenwoodW 98–59

TCU have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).