NCAAB
San Diego
2-0
Colorado
1-1
Win Probability
Moneyline
USD
9.7% win prob
Moneyline
COLO
90.3% win prob
San Diego travels to Colorado for a matchup between the unbeaten Toreros and the Buffaloes, who sit at 1-1. The simulation strongly favors the home side. Colorado's defense will be tested by San Diego's offensive weapons, but the model projects the Buffaloes to control pace and limit possessions—a gameplan that has worked decisively in similar spots, with AccuScore's pick winning 97% of 560 graded games shaped this way. For San Diego to pull the upset, the Toreros would need to either force turnovers at an unusual rate or find surprising three-point shooting; the simulation gives them a 49% chance the combined score clears the total, suggesting a lower-scoring grind favors the home team's depth.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado 90% to beat San Diego (10%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado the more likely winner at 90%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Colorado a 90% chance of beating San Diego, against 10% for San Diego. Colorado are at home and favoured on these numbers.
San Diego (1-0 so far) project to finish 10.2–18.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Colorado (1-1 so far) project to finish 15.7–15.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 30% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How San Diego and Colorado come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met once since 2018: San Diego 1, Colorado 0. The last meeting, on Nov 20, 2018, finished Colorado 63, San Diego 70.