NCAAB
Louisiana Tech
2-0
LSU
2-0
Win Probability
Louisiana Tech travels to face LSU in a matchup between two undefeated teams, but the simulation decisively favours the home side. The Tigers' depth and execution project to overwhelm the Bulldogs' scoring capacity, with LSU's offence expected to consistently find the basket while Louisiana Tech struggles to generate points. The game turns on whether Louisiana Tech can keep pace from three-point range and force turnovers; in 560 games where the model leaned this strongly toward one side, that side won 97% of the time. For the visiting Bulldogs to pull off an upset, they would need to shoot efficiently from outside and limit their turnovers while LSU misfires—a combination unlikely enough that it registers as a longshot.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | LSU | EV | LT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -100000 | -1.2% | +5000 | +13.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -50000 | -1.2% | +9000 | +63.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -18357 | -1.0% | +336 | -44.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | -7.9% | -105 | +3.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | -7.9% | -105 | +3.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | -7.9% | -105 | +3.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | 148 | -110 | -8.2% | -110 | +3.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | -7.9% | -105 | +3.7% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes LSU 98% to beat Louisiana Tech (3%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes LSU the more likely winner at 98%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives LSU a 98% chance of beating Louisiana Tech, against 3% for Louisiana Tech. LSU are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Louisiana Tech (1-0 so far) project to finish 19.9–9.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 25% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
LSU (2-0 so far) project to finish 17.7–14.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 49% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech | 19.9–9.1 | 27% | 25% |
| LSU | 17.7–14.3 | 2% | 49% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Louisiana Tech and LSU come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Louisiana Tech have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).