NCAAB
NJIT
1-2
Rutgers
1-0
Win Probability
Rutgers hosts NJIT in a matchup where the simulation strongly favors the home side. The Scarlet Knights' depth should prove decisive; with multiple contributors projected to score in double figures, they can weather any single hot shooting night from the visitors. NJIT's path to an upset runs through three-point shooting—the team will need to exceed its season norm significantly to keep pace. AccuScore's model has favored sides this decisively in 560 past games and won 97% of them. For the Highlanders to pull off the upset, they would need to sustain offensive efficiency well above their 1-2 record suggests they can manage.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | RUTG | EV | NJIT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -10000 | -0.7% | +3000 | -14.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -10000 | -0.7% | +3000 | -14.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -55290 | -1.1% | +2925 | -15.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 144.5 | -115 | -5.0% | -105 | +0.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | -6.5% | -110 | +1.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | -6.5% | -110 | +1.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 145.5 | -129 | -9.5% | -120 | -0.1% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Rutgers 98% to beat NJIT (2%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Rutgers the more likely winner at 98%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Rutgers a 98% chance of beating NJIT, against 2% for NJIT. Rutgers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
NJIT (1-2 so far) project to finish 9.1–21.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Rutgers (1-0 so far) project to finish 14.1–15.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 21% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How NJIT and Rutgers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.