Winthrop
0-2
Kennesaw State
2-0
Win Probability
Winthrop travels to Kennesaw State for a matchup between winless and undefeated teams. The simulation favours the home side decisively. Kennesaw State's interior presence will be crucial; the model projects the Eagles to outscore Winthrop in the paint by a significant margin. Across similar games where the model leaned this strongly, the favoured side won 81% of the time. Winthrop would need to disrupt Kennesaw State's interior dominance and keep the game close enough that pace and transition opportunities swing the result.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | KENN | EV | WIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -530 | -4.0% | +390 | +5.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -500 | -3.6% | +370 | +3.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -628 | -5.1% | +303 | -4.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 167.5 | -110 | -1.6% | -110 | -2.9% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 166.5 | -110 | +1.0% | -110 | -5.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 167 | -110 | -0.3% | -110 | -4.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 167.5 | -120 | -3.5% | -129 | -6.2% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Kennesaw State 77% to beat Winthrop (23%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Kennesaw State the more likely winner at 77%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Kennesaw State a 77% chance of beating Winthrop, against 23% for Winthrop. Kennesaw State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Winthrop (0-2 so far) project to finish 14.0–14.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 14% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Kennesaw State (1-0 so far) project to finish 16.7–10.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winthrop | 14.0–14.0 | 16% | 14% |
| Kennesaw State | 16.7–10.3 | 22% | 19% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Winthrop and Kennesaw State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Winthrop have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Kennesaw State have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).