NCAAB
Maine
1-2
Rhode Island
2-0
Win Probability
Maine travels to Rhode Island in a matchup heavily favored toward the host Rams. The simulation gives Rhode Island a decisive lean, projecting a game that turns on ball security and three-point shooting—Maine's path to an upset requires containing URI's perimeter threat while forcing turnovers in transition. Across eight similar games where AccuScore leaned this strongly toward one side, that side won all eight. Maine's interior presence could limit Rhode Island's second-chance opportunities, but the Rams' depth should prove too much for a visiting team that has struggled early in the season.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | URI | EV | ME | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -4000 | -2.0% | +1400 | -2.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -3000 | -1.6% | +1500 | +0.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -3582 | -1.8% | +1418 | -2.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 142.5 | -110 | -9.1% | -110 | +4.6% |
| Caesars ↗ | 142.5 | -110 | -9.1% | -110 | +4.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 142.5 | -110 | -9.1% | -110 | +4.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 142.5 | -102 | -7.6% | -125 | +1.5% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Rhode Island 94% to beat Maine (6%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Rhode Island the more likely winner at 94%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Rhode Island a 94% chance of beating Maine, against 6% for Maine. Rhode Island are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Maine (1-2 so far) project to finish 11.6–19.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Rhode Island (2-0 so far) project to finish 18.9–11.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maine | 11.6–19.4 | 4% | 4% |
| Rhode Island | 18.9–11.1 | 8% | 15% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Maine and Rhode Island come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Maine have won 1 of their last 3 (L-W-L, most recent first).
Rhode Island have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).