NCAAB
Presbyterian
0-2
NC State
2-0
Win Probability
Presbyterian travels to face NC State in a matchup the simulation favors decisively to the home side. The Wolfpack's depth should prove decisive; across eight statistically similar games, the model's favored team won all eight. Presbyterian will need to slow NC State's pace and force turnovers to stay close, as the gap in offensive efficiency is the game's determining factor. The visitor's best path to an upset runs through keeping possessions short and converting at a 49% rate from three, well above their season average, while NC State's bench must underperform projection by a significant margin for the outcome to shift.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | NCSU | EV | PRES | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -4500 | -1.5% | +1600 | -5.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -3000 | -1.0% | +1500 | -8.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -10969 | -2.2% | +732 | -28.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 146.5 | -108 | +3.8% | -112 | -8.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 148.5 | -105 | -1.1% | -115 | -3.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 146 | -110 | +4.7% | -110 | -9.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 145.5 | -106 | +6.9% | -129 | -13.3% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes NC State 95% to beat Presbyterian (5%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes NC State the more likely winner at 95%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives NC State a 95% chance of beating Presbyterian, against 5% for Presbyterian. NC State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Presbyterian (0-2 so far) project to finish 11.2–16.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
NC State (2-0 so far) project to finish 19.9–11.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 48% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Presbyterian | 11.2–16.8 | 6% | 6% |
| NC State | 19.9–11.1 | 3% | 48% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Presbyterian and NC State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Presbyterian have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
NC State have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).