NCAAB
Bryant
1-2
Providence
1-1
Win Probability
Bryant travels to Providence looking to upset a Friars side that the model favors decisively. Providence's depth in the backcourt will be critical; the simulation projects the Friars to control pace and volume, with their guards consistently creating separation. Bryant's best path runs through forcing Providence into an inefficient night from three-point range, a scenario the model assigns low probability. On games where AccuScore has leaned this heavily toward the home team, the favored side won 97 percent of the time across 560 graded contests. For Bryant to pull off the upset, they would need to match Providence's efficiency while committing to defensive pressure that disrupts the Friars' rhythm—a tall order for a team that has yet to find consistency on the road.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | PROV | EV | BRY | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -10000 | -0.2% | +3000 | -28.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -22049 | -0.5% | +296 | -47.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 148.5 | -115 | -1.6% | -105 | -2.9% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | +2.2% | -110 | -6.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 148 | -115 | -0.1% | -105 | -4.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 148.5 | -135 | -4.9% | -125 | -6.6% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Providence 99% to beat Bryant (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Providence the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Providence a 99% chance of beating Bryant, against 1% for Bryant. Providence are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Bryant (1-2 so far) project to finish 10.4–19.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Providence (1-1 so far) project to finish 15.4–14.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 30% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant | 10.4–19.6 | 5% | 5% |
| Providence | 15.4–14.6 | 3% | 30% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Bryant and Providence come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Bryant have won 1 of their last 3 (L-L-W, most recent first).
Providence have won 1 of their last 2 (L-W, most recent first).