Prairie View A&M
2-1
SMU
2-0
Win Probability
Prairie View A&M travels to face SMU in a matchup where the simulation strongly favours the hosts. SMU's depth gives it a decisive advantage: the model projects the Mustangs to reach 92 points, while Prairie View A&M is forecast at 67.7. On games where AccuScore has leaned this heavily toward one side, that side won 97% of the time across 560 graded contests. For Prairie View A&M to pull off the upset, it would need to both exceed its scoring projection significantly and hold SMU well below 92 points—a combination that history suggests happens roughly once every 33 times this situation arises.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | SMU | EV | PV | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -10000 | -0.8% | +3500 | -5.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -10000 | -0.8% | +3000 | -11.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -55290 | -1.2% | +2925 | -12.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 159.5 | -115 | -1.6% | -105 | -2.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 160 | -110 | -1.8% | -110 | -2.6% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes SMU 98% to beat Prairie View A&M (3%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes SMU the more likely winner at 98%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives SMU a 98% chance of beating Prairie View A&M, against 3% for Prairie View A&M. SMU are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Prairie View A&M (0-1 so far) project to finish 9.4–18.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
SMU (2-0 so far) project to finish 18.6–13.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 32% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie View A&M | 9.4–18.6 | 6% | 5% |
| SMU | 18.6–13.4 | 1% | 32% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Prairie View A&M and SMU come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Prairie View A&M have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).