NCAAB
SE Louisiana
1-1
Ole Miss
2-0
Win Probability
SE Louisiana travels to face Ole Miss in a game where the simulation strongly favors the home side. The Rebels' depth will be tested early: Ole Miss projects to score 86 points, with contributions across the roster, while SE Louisiana's offense is projected at 61. The decisive lean rests on Ole Miss's ability to control pace and limit second chances, areas where the visitor has struggled through two games. On games shaped this way—where the simulation favors one side overwhelmingly—AccuScore's pick has won 97 of its last 100. SE Louisiana would need a historic shooting performance and turnover margin to threaten the projected outcome.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | Line | MISS | EV | SELA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -25.5 | -108 | -5.8% | -112 | +1.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -25.5 | -105 | -5.2% | -115 | +0.6% |
| Book | MISS | EV | SELA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -20000 | -0.8% | +3500 | -12.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -20000 | -0.8% | +5000 | +3.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 146.5 | -115 | -3.5% | -105 | -0.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -2.6% | -110 | -2.0% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Ole Miss 98% to beat SE Louisiana (2%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Ole Miss the more likely winner at 98%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Ole Miss a 98% chance of beating SE Louisiana, against 2% for SE Louisiana. Ole Miss are at home and favoured on these numbers.
SE Louisiana (1-1 so far) project to finish 11.0–21.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Ole Miss (2-0 so far) project to finish 18.3–11.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 53% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| SE Louisiana | 11.0–21.0 | 2% | 2% |
| Ole Miss | 18.3–11.7 | 3% | 53% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How SE Louisiana and Ole Miss come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
SE Louisiana have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).
Ole Miss have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).