NCAAB
Queens University
2-1
#23BYU
2-0
Win Probability
BYU hosts Queens University in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the home side. The game hinges on whether Queens University can generate enough offensive production to stay close; Jordan Watford has a 46% chance of exceeding 24 combined points, rebounds and assists, and Nasir Mann sits at 49%, but BYU's depth presents a steeper challenge. Robert Wright III projects at a 50% chance of surpassing 35 combined points, rebounds and assists for the hosts, signalling the offensive firepower Queens University must contain. In similar games where the model leaned this strongly, the favoured side won 97% of 560 graded contests. For Queens University to pull the upset, it would need multiple contributors to exceed their projection thresholds simultaneously while BYU's balanced scoring threat misfires.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | BYU | EV | QU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -30000 | -0.7% | +4000 | -15.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -20000 | -0.6% | +5000 | -6.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -10969 | -0.4% | +245 | -47.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 179.5 | -115 | +0.4% | -105 | -5.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 179.5 | -110 | +1.5% | -110 | -6.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 178.5 | -135 | -0.8% | -125 | -10.8% |
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
AccuScore's simulation makes BYU 98% to beat Queens University (2%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes BYU the more likely winner at 98%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives BYU a 98% chance of beating Queens University, against 2% for Queens University. BYU are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Queens University (2-1 so far) project to finish 16.1–15.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 21% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
BYU (2-0 so far) project to finish 21.5–8.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 83% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Queens University | 16.1–15.9 | 20% | 21% |
| BYU | 21.5–8.5 | 9% | 83% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Queens University and BYU come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Queens University have won 2 of their last 3 (L-W-W, most recent first).