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NCAAB

Bucknell vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Tue, Nov 10, 2026, 9:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NCAAB•Wed, Nov 11 • 2:00 AM
BUCK

Bucknell

0-2

VS
UVA

#6Virginia

3-0

Win Probability

Moneyline

BUCK

+15000

0.2% win prob

EV -34.9%

Fanatics

Moneyline

UVA

-100000

99.8% win prob

EV -0.1%

Fanatics

Analysis

Virginia hosts Bucknell in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the Cavaliers. Thijs De Ridder has a 46% chance of exceeding 27 points, rebounds and assists, while Rocco Lamuno leads Bucknell's projection with a 49% chance of topping 18 combined. The game turns on whether Virginia's depth can overwhelm a Bucks team that will need contributions across its roster to keep pace. On games shaped this strongly in AccuScore's record, the favored side won 97% of the time across 560 graded contests. For Bucknell to stay competitive, multiple players would need to hit their high-end projections simultaneously while Virginia's role players underperform.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadUVA -35.5
-3.5-37.25-71
BUCK Cover
49.9%
no odds at this line
UVA Cover
50.1%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 148.5
109.5149.75190
Over Cover
50.0%
EV -2.3%
-110Caesars ↗
Under Cover
50.0%
EV -2.3%
-110Caesars ↗

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

1.3%BUCK
Tied 0.4%
UVA98.3%
1st Half SpreadUVA -20
0-20-40
BUCK Cover
47.8%
no odds at this line
UVA Cover
47.7%
no odds at this line
Push 4.5% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 71.5
527292
Over Cover
50.1%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
49.9%
no odds at this line

Player Props

UVA BUCK
Sort:

EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookUVAEVBUCKEV
Fanatics ↗-100000-0.1%+15000-34.9%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
FanDuel ↗148.5-115-3.3%-105-1.2%
Caesars ↗148.5-110-2.3%-110-2.3%
Fanatics ↗148.5-110-2.3%-110-2.3%
Polymarket ↗148.5-135-6.5%-125-5.0%

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes Virginia 100% to beat Bucknell (0%).

Projection updated Nov 9, 10:46 PM ET

Who will win Bucknell vs Virginia?

AccuScore's simulation makes Virginia the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Virginia beat Bucknell?

AccuScore's simulation gives Virginia a 100% chance of beating Bucknell, against 0% for Bucknell. Virginia are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every Bucknell vs Virginia meeting →Bucknell predictions & record →Virginia predictions & record →

Season outlook

Bucknell (0-2 so far) project to finish 8.4–22.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Virginia (3-0 so far) project to finish 23.0–8.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 86% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordConference titlePlayoffs
Bucknell8.4–22.63%3%
Virginia23.0–8.013%86%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Bucknell and Virginia come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

BucknellLL
  • Nov 7vs Old DominionL 62–82
  • Nov 2at MarylandL 67–96

Bucknell have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).

VirginiaWWW
  • Nov 8vs ArkansasW 91–72
  • Nov 6vs NortheasternW 97–72
  • Nov 3vs DrexelW 89–60

Virginia have won 3 of their last 3 (W-W-W, most recent first).