NCAAB
Loyola Chicago
2-0
Air Force
2-1
Win Probability
Loyola Chicago travels to face Air Force in a matchup where the simulation strongly favors the visiting Ramblers. The model projects a low-scoring affair that hinges on three-point shooting: Loyola Chicago's perimeter game will need to stay sharp while Air Force's defence tries to limit long-range opportunities. In 1,336 games where AccuScore leaned this decisively toward one side, that side won 81% of the time. Air Force can still pull the upset if it forces enough turnovers and keeps pace from beyond the arc, but the Ramblers' depth and shooting touch give them the decisive advantage in this one.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | AF | EV | LUC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | +147 | -20.4% | -5429 | -11.3% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Loyola Chicago 76% to beat Air Force (24%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Loyola Chicago the more likely winner at 76%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Air Force a 24% chance of beating Loyola Chicago, against 76% for Loyola Chicago. Air Force are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Loyola Chicago (2-0 so far) project to finish 11.8–17.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Air Force (1-1 so far) project to finish 7.3–23.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loyola Chicago | 11.8–17.2 | 1% | 2% |
| Air Force | 7.3–23.7 | <1% | <1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Loyola Chicago and Air Force come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Loyola Chicago have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
Air Force have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).