NCAAB
Charleston
2-0
Temple
1-1
Win Probability
This is a coin-flip between Charleston and Temple, with the simulation favoring the visiting Cougars by the slimmest margin. The game hinges on perimeter scoring: Tavari Johnson has a 48% chance to eclipse 22 points, rebounds and assists for Charleston, while Temple's Derrian Ford sits at 46% for the same 23-point threshold. On games with win probabilities shaped this way, AccuScore's favored side has won 57% of 6,715 graded matchups. Temple would need to win the turnover battle and control the pace to pull off the upset at home.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | TEM | EV | COFC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -258 | -13.8% | -271 | -17.3% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Temple 52% to beat Charleston (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Temple the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Temple a 52% chance of beating Charleston, against 48% for Charleston. Temple are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Charleston project to finish 16.4–11.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Temple (1-1 so far) project to finish 13.0–15.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston | 16.4–11.6 | 17% | 15% |
| Temple | 13.0–15.0 | 4% | 4% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Charleston and Temple come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Temple have won 1 of their last 2 (L-W, most recent first).