NCAAB
Southern Indiana
1-2
IU Indianapolis
2-0
Win Probability
IU Indianapolis hosts Southern Indiana in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the home side. Gus Etchison leads the Hoosiers' scoring projection with a 48% chance of exceeding 32 combined points, rebounds and assists, while Kaden Brown carries the load for the Screaming Eagles at 49% to surpass 20. The game turns on whether Southern Indiana can generate enough offensive production across its roster—Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams and Afan Trnka both project at 45% to clear 19 and 21 respectively—to keep pace with IU Indianapolis's depth. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's favored side won 68% of the time across a large sample. A Southern Indiana upset would require balanced scoring from multiple contributors and an offensive performance that exceeds the home team's projected output.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | Line | IUIN | EV | USI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -5.5 | -112 | -2.6% | -108 | -1.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -6.5 | -105 | -4.1% | -115 | -0.5% |
| Book | IUIN | EV | USI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -240 | -3.0% | +195 | -0.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -245 | -3.3% | +200 | +0.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 160.5 | -115 | -5.2% | -105 | +0.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 161 | -110 | -5.5% | -110 | +1.1% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes IU Indianapolis 66% to beat Southern Indiana (34%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes IU Indianapolis the more likely winner at 66%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives IU Indianapolis a 66% chance of beating Southern Indiana, against 34% for Southern Indiana. IU Indianapolis are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Southern Indiana (0-2 so far) project to finish 11.3–15.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 8% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
IU Indianapolis (1-0 so far) project to finish 9.5–20.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Indiana | 11.3–15.7 | 10% | 8% |
| IU Indianapolis | 9.5–20.5 | 1% | 1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Southern Indiana and IU Indianapolis come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Southern Indiana have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
IU Indianapolis have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).