NCAAB
Campbell
0-2
East Tennessee State
0-2
Win Probability
Moneyline
CAM
-125
29.9% win prob
EV -23.1%
Polymarket
Moneyline
ETSU
-5429
70.1% win prob
EV -14.3%
Polymarket
Campbell travels to face East Tennessee State in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. Jayden Cooper and Tyran Mason both project at 50% to exceed 18 and 17 points, rebounds and assists respectively, anchoring East Tennessee State's depth across the scoring column. The game turns on whether Campbell can generate enough offensive creation; Nordin Kapic sits at 48% to surpass 24 combined points, rebounds and assists, but the Bucs' roster breadth poses a stiff test for a visiting team still seeking its first win. When AccuScore's model has leaned this heavily toward the home team in past similar games, that side won 81% of the time. Campbell would need multiple contributors to exceed their projections simultaneously to pull the upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | ETSU | EV | CAM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -5429 | -14.3% | -125 | -23.1% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes East Tennessee State 70% to beat Campbell (30%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes East Tennessee State the more likely winner at 70%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives East Tennessee State a 70% chance of beating Campbell, against 30% for Campbell. East Tennessee State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Campbell (0-2 so far) project to finish 13.2–18.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
East Tennessee State (0-2 so far) project to finish 17.5–12.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell | 13.2–18.8 | 7% | 5% |
| East Tennessee State | 17.5–12.5 | 17% | 15% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Campbell and East Tennessee State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Campbell have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
East Tennessee State have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).