NCAAB
Stony Brook
1-1
Princeton
2-1
Win Probability
Moneyline
STBK
-120
34.5% win prob
EV -18.4%
Polymarket
Moneyline
PRIN
-680
65.5% win prob
EV -12.4%
Polymarket
Stony Brook travels to face Princeton in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the hosts. Bryan Ndjonga of Stony Brook has a 47% chance of exceeding 22 points, rebounds and assists, while Jackson Hicke projects similarly for Princeton at 46% on the same threshold. The game hinges on whether Stony Brook's balanced scoring attack can keep pace with Princeton's depth in a tight contest. When AccuScore has favored a side this strongly across similar games, that side won 68% of the time. For the visiting Seahawks to pull off the upset, they would need their multiple scorers—Jaden Daughtry and Collin O'Connor among them—to sustain production while limiting Princeton's transition opportunities.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | PRIN | EV | STBK | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -680 | -12.4% | -120 | -18.4% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Princeton 66% to beat Stony Brook (35%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Princeton the more likely winner at 66%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Princeton a 66% chance of beating Stony Brook, against 35% for Stony Brook. Princeton are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Stony Brook (0-1 so far) project to finish 14.3–14.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Princeton (1-1 so far) project to finish 11.7–15.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 8% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stony Brook | 14.3–14.7 | 6% | 6% |
| Princeton | 11.7–15.3 | 9% | 8% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Stony Brook and Princeton come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Princeton have won 1 of their last 2 (L-W, most recent first).