NCAAB
Saint Peter's
0-3
South Carolina
2-0
Win Probability
Saint Peter's travels to South Carolina as a heavy underdog in this matchup between the winless Peacocks and the undefeated Gamecocks. The simulation decisively favours the home side, with South Carolina's depth presenting the central challenge for the visitors. Jakub Necas has a 50% chance of exceeding 24 combined points, rebounds and assists, while Saint Peter's will need X. Thomas to clear 18 in the same category—a 44% proposition. The game hinges on whether Saint Peter's can generate enough offensive creation to stay within reach; AccuScore's model has won 97% of 581 games shaped this decisively in favour of the home team. For the Peacocks to pull off an upset, their perimeter shooting would need to overcome South Carolina's balanced scoring threats across multiple players.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | SC | EV | SPU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -5429 | -0.9% | +271 | -43.5% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes South Carolina 97% to beat Saint Peter's (4%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes South Carolina the more likely winner at 97%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives South Carolina a 97% chance of beating Saint Peter's, against 4% for Saint Peter's. South Carolina are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Saint Peter's (0-3 so far) project to finish 12.3–16.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
South Carolina (2-0 so far) project to finish 14.5–17.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Peter's | 12.3–16.7 | 7% | 6% |
| South Carolina | 14.5–17.5 | <1% | 15% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Saint Peter's and South Carolina come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Saint Peter's have won 0 of their last 3 (L-L-L, most recent first).
South Carolina have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).