NCAAB
William & Mary
2-0
Florida Atlantic
1-1
Win Probability
William & Mary travels to face Florida Atlantic in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the host. The Owls' depth will be tested early: Jelani Hamilton has a 47% chance of exceeding 28 points, rebounds and assists, while Kanaan Carlyle projects at 46% to surpass 25 in combined production. For the visiting Tribe, Josh Baldwin carries a 49% chance of topping 19 combined points, rebounds and assists. AccuScore's model has favoured sides this strongly in 1,336 graded games and seen them win 81% of the time. William & Mary would need to dominate the glass and force turnovers to pull off an upset at the Burrow.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | FAU | EV | W&M | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -1274 | -11.7% | -172 | -27.1% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Florida Atlantic 71% to beat William & Mary (29%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Florida Atlantic the more likely winner at 71%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Florida Atlantic a 71% chance of beating William & Mary, against 29% for William & Mary. Florida Atlantic are at home and favoured on these numbers.
William & Mary (1-0 so far) project to finish 12.8–16.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Florida Atlantic (1-1 so far) project to finish 14.7–14.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary | 12.8–16.2 | 5% | 5% |
| Florida Atlantic | 14.7–14.3 | 6% | 7% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How William & Mary and Florida Atlantic come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
William & Mary have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).
Florida Atlantic have won 1 of their last 2 (L-W, most recent first).