NCAAB
Oral Roberts
1-1
Tulsa
2-0
Win Probability
Tulsa hosts Oral Roberts in a matchup that the model decisively favors to the Golden Hurricane. Luke Gray of Oral Roberts has a 48% chance of exceeding 21 combined points, rebounds and assists, while Jeremiah Johnson of Tulsa projects at 47% to surpass 28—a gap that epitomizes how much firepower the home side brings. Tulsa's depth compounds that advantage: Chris Loofe, Myles Rigsby and Macon Emory all sit near the 48–49% threshold for their respective contribution targets. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's pick won 97 of 100 times across 581 prior contests. For Oral Roberts to pull the upset, its supporting cast would need to match Tulsa's scoring load despite being on the road and facing a team that has opened undefeated.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | TLSA | EV | ORU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -10969 | -2.1% | +161 | -43.3% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Tulsa 95% to beat Oral Roberts (5%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Tulsa the more likely winner at 95%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Tulsa a 95% chance of beating Oral Roberts, against 5% for Oral Roberts. Tulsa are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Oral Roberts (0-1 so far) project to finish 9.3–16.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 8% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Tulsa (1-0 so far) project to finish 19.9–10.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 24% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oral Roberts | 9.3–16.7 | 9% | 8% |
| Tulsa | 19.9–10.1 | 16% | 24% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Oral Roberts and Tulsa come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Oral Roberts have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
The teams have met 4 times since 2017: Oral Roberts 1, Tulsa 3. The last meeting, on Nov 11, 2025, finished Tulsa 88, Oral Roberts 87.