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NCAAB

Jacksonville State vs Houston Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Wed, Nov 11, 2026, 8:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NCAAB•Thu, Nov 12 • 1:00 AM
JXST

Jacksonville State

1-1

VS
HOU

#8Houston

2-0

Win Probability

Moneyline

JXST

-172

0.2% win prob

EV -49.8%

Polymarket

Moneyline

HOU

-55290

99.8% win prob

EV -0.0%

Polymarket

Analysis

Jacksonville State travels to Houston in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the Cougars. Dedan Thomas Jr. of Houston has a 49% chance of exceeding 23 combined points, rebounds and assists, while teammate Braden East projects a 47% chance of surpassing 21. For Jacksonville State, Naas Cunningham holds a 47% chance of reaching 19 combined, but that may not be enough to keep pace. The game turns on whether Jacksonville State can generate consistent offensive production against a Houston team built to dominate inside and out. In 581 games where AccuScore favored one side this strongly, that side won 97% of the time.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadHOU -32.5
-3.5-33.25-63
JXST Cover
51.1%
no odds at this line
HOU Cover
48.9%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 138.5
100.5138.25176
Over Cover
50.2%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
49.8%
no odds at this line

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

1.5%JXST
Tied 0.5%
HOU98.0%
1st Half SpreadHOU -18
2-18-38
JXST Cover
46.7%
no odds at this line
HOU Cover
48.6%
no odds at this line
Push 4.7% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 65.5
466686
Over Cover
49.9%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
50.1%
no odds at this line

Player Props

HOU JXST
Sort:

EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookHOUEVJXSTEV
Polymarket ↗-55290-0.0%-172-49.8%

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes Houston 100% to beat Jacksonville State (0%).

Projection updated Nov 10, 7:50 PM ET

Who will win Jacksonville State vs Houston?

AccuScore's simulation makes Houston the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Houston beat Jacksonville State?

AccuScore's simulation gives Houston a 100% chance of beating Jacksonville State, against 0% for Jacksonville State. Houston are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every Jacksonville State vs Houston meeting →Jacksonville State predictions & record →Houston predictions & record →

Season outlook

Jacksonville State (0-1 so far) project to finish 16.5–13.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Houston (2-0 so far) project to finish 25.0–5.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 98% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordConference titlePlayoffs
Jacksonville State16.5–13.517%15%
Houston25.0–5.041%98%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Jacksonville State and Houston come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Jacksonville StateL
  • Nov 5at South AlabamaL 80–83

Jacksonville State have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).

HoustonWW
  • Nov 8at CaliforniaW 86–68
  • Nov 2vs La SalleW 94–55

Houston have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).