NCAAB
Pacific
2-0
Long Beach State
0-2
Win Probability
Pacific travels to Long Beach State as the simulation's clear favourite. The Tigers' depth will be tested by Yohann Sissoko and Jack Payne of the 49ers, who each have a 48% chance of exceeding 22 and 21 combined points, rebounds and assists respectively. Pacific counters with multiple scoring threats: Connor Amundsen and Gavin Ripp both project a 49% and 48% chance respectively of surpassing 20 in that category. The game hinges on whether Long Beach State can generate enough offence to stay close—AccuScore's model won 68% of games with this probability shape across similar matchups. For the home side to pull the upset, their perimeter players would need to impose themselves early and force Pacific into extended possessions.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | LBSU | EV | PAC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -110 | -17.9% | -741 | -12.3% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Pacific 66% to beat Long Beach State (34%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Pacific the more likely winner at 66%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Long Beach State a 34% chance of beating Pacific, against 66% for Pacific. Long Beach State are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Pacific (1-0 so far) project to finish 17.1–12.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Long Beach State (0-2 so far) project to finish 12.6–19.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific | 17.1–12.9 | 7% | 12% |
| Long Beach State | 12.6–19.4 | 5% | 5% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Pacific and Long Beach State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Long Beach State have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 2 times since 2018: Pacific 2, Long Beach State 0. The last meeting, on Nov 11, 2025, finished Long Beach State 66, Pacific 69.