Lindenwood
2-1
#25Nebraska
2-0
Win Probability
Lindenwood travels to face Nebraska in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. Pryce Sandfort has a 46% chance of exceeding 26 points, rebounds and assists, while Nebraska's Damon Wilkinson projects at 49% to surpass 24 combined. The game hinges on whether Lindenwood can generate enough perimeter scoring: Justin Pasko sits at 49% to exceed 20 combined, but Nebraska's depth—with five players each near or above 45% to hit their thresholds—should prove difficult to match. In games shaped this way statistically, AccuScore's favored side won 8 of 8 graded contests. For the visitors to pull the upset, their role players would need to outpace Nebraska's balanced attack.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | Line | NEB | EV | LIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars ↗ | -34.5 | -110 | -12.6% | -110 | +8.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -34.5 | -110 | -12.6% | -110 | +8.0% |
| Book | NEB | EV | LIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -50000 | -0.3% | +8000 | -21.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | 151.5 | -110 | -5.4% | -110 | +0.9% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Nebraska 99% to beat Lindenwood (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Nebraska the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Nebraska a 99% chance of beating Lindenwood, against 1% for Lindenwood. Nebraska are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Lindenwood (0-1 so far) project to finish 15.6–11.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 25% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Nebraska (2-0 so far) project to finish 22.4–9.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 80% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lindenwood | 15.6–11.4 | 33% | 25% |
| Nebraska | 22.4–9.6 | 7% | 80% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Lindenwood and Nebraska come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Nebraska have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).