NCAAB
South Carolina State
3-0
Notre Dame
3-0
Win Probability
South Carolina State travels to Notre Dame for a matchup between two undefeated teams, but the simulation strongly favours the home side. In 581 games where the model leaned this decisively toward one team, that side won 97% of the time. Notre Dame's depth will be the deciding factor: the Irish project to score 87.5 points, well clear of South Carolina State's 62.4, suggesting a gap in offensive firepower that the visitors are unlikely to overcome. For the Bulldogs to pull off the upset, they would need to generate scoring at a rate the simulation gives them only a 2% chance of achieving.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | ND | EV | SCST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -10000 | -0.5% | +3000 | -20.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -7000 | -0.2% | +2500 | -25.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -55290 | -0.9% | +250 | -46.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | +1.8% | -105 | -6.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | +1.8% | -105 | -6.5% |
| Caesars ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | +0.6% | -110 | -5.1% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | +0.6% | -110 | -5.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 148 | -110 | +1.8% | -110 | -6.2% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Notre Dame 98% to beat South Carolina State (2%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Notre Dame the more likely winner at 98%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Notre Dame a 98% chance of beating South Carolina State, against 2% for South Carolina State. Notre Dame are at home and favoured on these numbers.
South Carolina State (2-0 so far) project to finish 12.2–15.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Notre Dame (2-0 so far) project to finish 15.2–13.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 18% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina State | 12.2–15.8 | 14% | 12% |
| Notre Dame | 15.2–13.8 | 1% | 18% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How South Carolina State and Notre Dame come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
South Carolina State have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
Notre Dame have won 3 of their last 3 (W-W-W, most recent first).