American University
0-2
Drexel
1-1
Win Probability
American University travels to face Drexel in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. Both teams arrive with modest records, but the model favours Drexel to control a game that projects tight in score. The outcome hinges on perimeter shooting: American University's ability to hit from distance will be essential if the Eagles are to steal this one on the road. On games where AccuScore has leaned this strongly toward the home team, that side has won 68% of 2,188 graded contests. For American University to pull the upset, their outside shot will need to fall consistently enough to keep pace in what figures as a low-scoring affair.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | DREX | EV | AMER | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -122 | +5.1% | +102 | -10.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -120 | +5.5% | +100 | -10.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -120 | +5.5% | +100 | -10.6% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -125 | +4.5% | -103 | -11.2% |
| betPARX ↗ | -125 | +4.5% | -103 | -11.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 141.5 | -105 | -1.8% | -115 | -2.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 141.5 | -105 | -1.8% | -115 | -2.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | 141.5 | -110 | -2.8% | -110 | -1.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 141.5 | -105 | -1.8% | -115 | -2.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 141 | -110 | -1.5% | -110 | -2.9% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 60.6%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Drexel 61% to beat American University (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Drexel the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Drexel a 61% chance of beating American University, against 39% for American University. Drexel are at home and favoured on these numbers.
American University (0-2 so far) project to finish 15.0–16.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Drexel (1-1 so far) project to finish 15.1–14.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| American University | 15.0–16.0 | 18% | 15% |
| Drexel | 15.1–14.9 | 7% | 6% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How American University and Drexel come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
American University have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Drexel have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2025: American University 1, Drexel 0. The last meeting, on Dec 2, 2025, finished Drexel 73, American University 75.