Old Dominion
3-0
Norfolk State
2-1
Win Probability
Old Dominion travels to Norfolk State looking to improve to 4-0, and the simulation favors the Monarchs clearly. The projection hinges on perimeter shooting and ball security: Old Dominion's guards will need to execute at volume while Norfolk State's interior defense tries to force turnovers and limit second chances. In games where AccuScore has leaned this strongly toward the visiting side, the favored team won 68% of the time across 2,188 graded matchups. Norfolk State can still pull the upset if its transition defense tightens and forces the Monarchs into a half-court slog, but Old Dominion's depth gives it multiple paths to victory.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | NORF | EV | ODU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +185 | -3.0% | -225 | -1.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +170 | -5.4% | -210 | -0.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +180 | -3.8% | -220 | -1.3% |
| BetRivers ↗ | +165 | -6.3% | -220 | -1.3% |
| betPARX ↗ | +165 | -6.3% | -220 | -1.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 139.5 | -110 | +4.3% | -110 | -8.9% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 139.5 | -110 | +4.3% | -110 | -8.9% |
| Caesars ↗ | 139.5 | -110 | +4.3% | -110 | -8.9% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 139.5 | -105 | +5.5% | -115 | -9.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 139.5 | -110 | +4.3% | -110 | -8.9% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Old Dominion 67% to beat Norfolk State (33%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Old Dominion the more likely winner at 67%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Norfolk State a 33% chance of beating Old Dominion, against 67% for Old Dominion. Norfolk State are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Old Dominion (2-0 so far) project to finish 15.9–13.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 8% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Norfolk State (0-1 so far) project to finish 8.3–19.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion | 15.9–13.1 | 8% | 8% |
| Norfolk State | 8.3–19.7 | 6% | 6% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Old Dominion and Norfolk State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Old Dominion have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
Norfolk State have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2025: Old Dominion 1, Norfolk State 0. The last meeting, on Nov 10, 2025, finished Norfolk State 57, Old Dominion 60.