NJIT
1-2
VCU
1-1
Win Probability
NJIT travels to face VCU in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The Rams' depth gives them a commanding advantage: VCU's projected output relies on balanced scoring across multiple contributors, while the Highlanders' offensive burden falls heavily on a smaller group. Across eight similar games where the model leaned this strongly one way, the favored side won all eight. For NJIT to pull off the upset, their perimeter shooting would need to be exceptional and VCU's role players would need to underperform their season norms simultaneously—unlikely given the gap the simulation has identified.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | VCU | EV | NJIT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -100000 | -0.4% | +5000 | -27.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -20000 | -0.2% | +6000 | -22.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -55290 | -0.4% | +2925 | -36.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 149.5 | -110 | -9.3% | -110 | +4.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -6.9% | -110 | +2.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 149.5 | -105 | -8.4% | -115 | +3.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | 149.5 | -110 | -9.3% | -110 | +4.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 149.5 | -110 | -9.3% | -110 | +4.8% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes VCU 99% to beat NJIT (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes VCU the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives VCU a 99% chance of beating NJIT, against 1% for NJIT. VCU are at home and favoured on these numbers.
NJIT (1-2 so far) project to finish 9.2–21.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
VCU (1-1 so far) project to finish 19.6–9.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 40% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How NJIT and VCU come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.