UNC Asheville
1-2
West Georgia
0-2
Win Probability
UNC Asheville travels to West Georgia in a contest the simulation favors the hosts slightly. Both teams enter at or near.500, and the model projects a razor-thin margin that hinges on perimeter shooting—the game stays within a possession either way. In similar matchups from AccuScore's record, the favored side won 57 percent of the time, a modest advantage that reflects how little separated these teams in the simulations. For UNC Asheville to pull the upset on the road, the Bulldogs would need to control pace and limit West Georgia's bench scoring, which the projection suggests could swing the result.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | WGA | EV | UNCA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -125 | -0.1% | +105 | -4.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -125 | -0.1% | +105 | -4.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -125 | -0.1% | +105 | -4.3% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -130 | -1.0% | +102 | -5.0% |
| betPARX ↗ | -130 | -1.0% | +102 | -5.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | -0.2% | -105 | -4.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | -0.2% | -105 | -4.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | +0.9% | -110 | -5.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | -0.2% | -105 | -4.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 148 | -110 | -0.1% | -110 | -4.3% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes West Georgia 55% to beat UNC Asheville (45%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes West Georgia the more likely winner at 55%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives West Georgia a 55% chance of beating UNC Asheville, against 45% for UNC Asheville. West Georgia are at home and favoured on these numbers.
UNC Asheville (0-2 so far) project to finish 10.7–18.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
West Georgia (0-2 so far) project to finish 9.3–19.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Asheville | 10.7–18.3 | 4% | 4% |
| West Georgia | 9.3–19.7 | 3% | 0% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How UNC Asheville and West Georgia come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
UNC Asheville have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
West Georgia have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).