NCAAB
Jackson State
1-2
Southern Miss
1-1
Win Probability
Jackson State travels to Southern Miss looking to upset a host that the simulation favours decisively. The model projects a low-scoring affair, with Southern Miss's offence needing to execute at a level that has historically proven difficult for Jackson State to contain. In games shaped like this one, the favoured side has won 92 per cent of the time across 785 graded contests. Jackson State would need to generate an upset that defies both the projection and the historical record. For the Eagles to pull it off, they would have to keep Southern Miss well below its projected total and convert at an unusually high rate themselves.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | USM | EV | JKST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -455 | +1.2% | +350 | -13.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -475 | +0.8% | +350 | -13.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -450 | +1.3% | +340 | -14.6% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -500 | +0.3% | +340 | -14.6% |
| betPARX ↗ | -500 | +0.3% | +340 | -14.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 151.5 | -108 | -7.0% | -112 | +2.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 151.5 | -105 | -6.4% | -115 | +1.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | 151.5 | -110 | -7.3% | -110 | +2.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 151.5 | -110 | -7.3% | -110 | +2.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 151 | -110 | -5.9% | -110 | +1.5% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 83.9%
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AccuScore's simulation makes Southern Miss 84% to beat Jackson State (16%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Southern Miss the more likely winner at 84%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Southern Miss a 84% chance of beating Jackson State, against 16% for Jackson State. Southern Miss are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Jackson State (1-2 so far) project to finish 11.0–22.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Southern Miss (0-1 so far) project to finish 14.7–15.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson State | 11.0–22.0 | 6% | 6% |
| Southern Miss | 14.7–15.3 | 8% | 7% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Jackson State and Southern Miss come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Jackson State have won 1 of their last 3 (L-W-L, most recent first).