NCAAB
Mississippi Valley State
0-2
Oregon
2-0
Win Probability
Mississippi Valley State travels to face Oregon in a matchup the simulation favours decisively to the home side. The Ducks project to dominate the scoring column, with their offensive weapons positioned to run away early. On games shaped this way—where the model has leaned this heavily toward one side—the favoured team won 97 percent of the time across 581 graded contests. Mississippi Valley State would need a historic offensive performance and Oregon's scoring to fall well short of projection to have any realistic path to an upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | ORE | EV | MVSU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -100000 | +0.0% | +12000 | -50.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -1.4% | -110 | -3.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -6.6% | -112 | +1.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -1.4% | -110 | -3.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -1.4% | -110 | -3.1% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -1.4% | -110 | -3.1% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Oregon 100% to beat Mississippi Valley State (0%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Oregon the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Oregon a 100% chance of beating Mississippi Valley State, against 0% for Mississippi Valley State. Oregon are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Mississippi Valley State (0-2 so far) project to finish 5.4–27.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Oregon (2-0 so far) project to finish 15.8–14.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 36% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi Valley State | 5.4–27.6 | 1% | 1% |
| Oregon | 15.8–14.2 | 1% | 36% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Mississippi Valley State and Oregon come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Mississippi Valley State have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Oregon have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).