Yale
1-2
Baylor
3-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
YALE
7.2% win prob
Moneyline
BAY
92.8% win prob
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Baylor 93% to beat Yale (7%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Baylor the more likely winner at 93%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Baylor a 93% chance of beating Yale, against 7% for Yale. Baylor are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Yale (1-2 so far) project to finish 15.6–10.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 32% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Baylor (3-0 so far) project to finish 19.2–9.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 75% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Yale and Baylor come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.