Fairfield
1-2
Wisconsin
3-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
FAIR
2.4% win prob
Moneyline
WIS
97.6% win prob
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Wisconsin 98% to beat Fairfield (2%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Wisconsin the more likely winner at 98%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Wisconsin a 98% chance of beating Fairfield, against 2% for Fairfield. Wisconsin are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Fairfield (1-2 so far) project to finish 14.0–16.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Wisconsin (3-0 so far) project to finish 20.0–11.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 75% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Fairfield and Wisconsin come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.