Little Rock
0-3
New Mexico
3-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
LR
2.7% win prob
Moneyline
UNM
97.3% win prob
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes New Mexico 97% to beat Little Rock (3%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New Mexico the more likely winner at 97%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New Mexico a 97% chance of beating Little Rock, against 3% for Little Rock. New Mexico are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Little Rock (0-3 so far) project to finish 10.9–19.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
New Mexico (3-0 so far) project to finish 24.1–6.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 59% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock | 10.9–19.1 | 5% | 5% |
| New Mexico | 24.1–6.9 | 45% | 59% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Little Rock and New Mexico come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Little Rock have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
New Mexico have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).