NCAAB
Georgia State
1-3
Fresno State
2-1
Win Probability
Moneyline
GAST
32.4% win prob
Moneyline
FRES
67.6% win prob
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Fresno State 68% to beat Georgia State (32%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Fresno State the more likely winner at 68%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Fresno State a 68% chance of beating Georgia State, against 32% for Georgia State. Fresno State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Georgia State (0-3 so far) project to finish 11.2–17.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Fresno State (1-1 so far) project to finish 9.7–20.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State | 11.2–17.8 | 2% | 3% |
| Fresno State | 9.7–20.3 | <1% | <1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Georgia State and Fresno State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Georgia State have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).