Creighton
2-1
Kansas State
2-1
Win Probability
Moneyline
CREI
58.0% win prob
Moneyline
KSU
42.0% win prob
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Creighton 58% to beat Kansas State (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Creighton the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Kansas State a 42% chance of beating Creighton, against 58% for Creighton. Kansas State are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Creighton (2-1 so far) project to finish 14.3–15.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 29% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Kansas State (2-1 so far) project to finish 13.0–17.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 13% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Creighton | 14.3–15.7 | 2% | 29% |
| Kansas State | 13.0–17.0 | <1% | 13% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Creighton and Kansas State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Creighton have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
Kansas State have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 2 times since 2018: Creighton 0, Kansas State 2. The last meeting, on Dec 13, 2025, finished Kansas State 83, Creighton 76.