Kansas City
1-2
George Mason
2-0
Win Probability
George Mason hosts Kansas City in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. Baraka Okojie has a 46% chance of exceeding 28 combined points, rebounds and assists for George Mason, while teammate Makhai Valentine sits at 50% for the same threshold; Kansas City's Sebastian Hartmann projects at 47% to surpass 17. The game turns on George Mason's ability to limit Kansas City's scoring—the simulation projects a 16-point margin—and on whether the Patriots can generate consistent contributions across their rotation. On games shaped this way, AccuScore's favored side won 8 of 8 in a comparable sample. For Kansas City to pull the upset, Carl Daughtery Jr. and Atuka Bakhtadze would both need to sustain offensive pressure and hit their 49% thresholds for 14-plus combined production.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | GMU | EV | KC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -1450 | -2.0% | +810 | -4.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -1200 | -1.3% | +750 | -7.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -1736 | -2.5% | +606 | -14.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 140.5 | -115 | -2.4% | -105 | -2.1% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 140.5 | -110 | -1.4% | -110 | -3.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 141 | -110 | -2.5% | -110 | -1.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 140.5 | -135 | -5.7% | -125 | -5.8% |
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes George Mason 90% to beat Kansas City (10%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes George Mason the more likely winner at 90%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives George Mason a 90% chance of beating Kansas City, against 10% for Kansas City. George Mason are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Kansas City (1-2 so far) project to finish 9.9–18.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
George Mason (2-0 so far) project to finish 19.3–11.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 17% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | 9.9–18.1 | 3% | 3% |
| George Mason | 19.3–11.7 | 6% | 17% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Kansas City and George Mason come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Kansas City have won 2 of their last 4 (W-L-W-L, most recent first).
George Mason have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).