NCAAB
Tennessee Tech
2-1
Indiana
3-0
Win Probability
Indiana hosts Tennessee Tech in a game where the simulation decisively favors the Hoosiers. Caleb Sanders carries the offensive load for the visiting Golden Eagles, with a 47% chance of exceeding 25 combined points, rebounds and assists, but Indiana's depth presents a steep climb—Markus Burton and Aiden Sherrell each have roughly a 49% chance of clearing 23 and 15 respectively. The game hinges on Tennessee Tech's ability to generate offense on the road; AccuScore's model has favored sides this strongly in 97% of 607 past games. For the Golden Eagles to pull off the upset, they would need Sanders and Cbo Newton to both exceed their thresholds while Indiana's complementary scorers underperform their projections.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | IU | EV | TNTC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -30000 | -1.0% | +4000 | -2.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -20000 | -0.9% | +5000 | +8.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -55290 | -1.1% | +1418 | -32.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 163.5 | -115 | -4.4% | -105 | -0.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 166.5 | -110 | -10.5% | -110 | +5.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 165 | -110 | -6.8% | -110 | +2.4% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Indiana 98% to beat Tennessee Tech (2%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Indiana the more likely winner at 98%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Indiana a 98% chance of beating Tennessee Tech, against 2% for Tennessee Tech. Indiana are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Tennessee Tech (1-1 so far) project to finish 10.1–18.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Indiana (3-0 so far) project to finish 19.1–12.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 53% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Tech | 10.1–18.9 | 1% | 2% |
| Indiana | 19.1–12.9 | 2% | 53% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Tennessee Tech and Indiana come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Tennessee Tech have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).
Indiana have won 3 of their last 3 (W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2017: Tennessee Tech 0, Indiana 1. The last meeting, on Dec 21, 2017, finished Tennessee Tech 59, Indiana 87.