Monmouth
0-2
Quinnipiac
2-1
Win Probability
Monmouth travels to face Quinnipiac in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. Quinnipiac's Keith McKnight has a 46% chance of exceeding 29 combined points, rebounds and assists, while Monmouth's Madison Durr projects at 48% to surpass 22. The game hinges on perimeter execution: Monmouth's Stefanos Spartalis (45% to beat 23) and Jack Collins (47% to beat 17) will need efficient nights for the visitors to stay close. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's favored side won 57% of the time across a large historical sample. Quinnipiac would need a scoring drought to lose, since even a modest offensive night from either team typically decides close games.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | QUIN | EV | MONM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -126 | +1.8% | +105 | -6.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -125 | +2.0% | +105 | -6.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -172 | -4.3% | -393 | -23.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -5.2% | -110 | +0.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 145.5 | -110 | -0.6% | -110 | -4.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 147.5 | -105 | -4.2% | -115 | -0.4% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 57.8%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Quinnipiac 58% to beat Monmouth (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Quinnipiac the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Quinnipiac a 58% chance of beating Monmouth, against 42% for Monmouth. Quinnipiac are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Monmouth (0-2 so far) project to finish 14.3–17.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 8% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Quinnipiac (2-1 so far) project to finish 17.4–12.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 13% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monmouth | 14.3–17.7 | 10% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac | 17.4–12.6 | 17% | 13% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Monmouth and Quinnipiac come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Monmouth have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Quinnipiac have won 2 of their last 3 (W-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 7 times since 2014: Monmouth 1, Quinnipiac 6. The last meeting, on Dec 16, 2025, finished Quinnipiac 85, Monmouth 75.