Canisius
1-2
Brown
1-2
Win Probability
Brown hosts Canisius in a game where the simulation decisively favors the home team. Jeremiah Jenkins of Brown has a 48% chance of exceeding 21 points, rebounds and assists, while Preist Ryan of Canisius projects at 45% to surpass 20 combined. The visiting Griffins will need to contain Brown's depth—Timmy Bollin (47% to exceed 20 combined) and Luke Paragon (49% to exceed 18 combined) represent a scoring burden few road teams manage. In similar matchups, AccuScore's favored side won 97% of the time across 607 graded games. For Canisius to pull the upset, it would need to dominate the glass and force turnovers; instead, the model sees a comfortable Bruins win.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | BRWN | EV | CAN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -950 | -1.9% | +610 | -3.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -900 | -1.7% | +600 | -4.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -1274 | -3.1% | +663 | -0.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 140.5 | -110 | -4.4% | -110 | -0.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 137.5 | -110 | +2.9% | -110 | -7.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 140 | -110 | -3.1% | -110 | -1.3% |
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Canisius (0-2 so far) project to finish 8.9–22.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Brown (1-2 so far) project to finish 12.1–14.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Brown 87% to beat Canisius (13%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Brown the more likely winner at 87%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Brown a 87% chance of beating Canisius, against 13% for Canisius. Brown are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Canisius and Brown come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met once since 2019: Canisius 0, Brown 1. The last meeting, on Jan 8, 2019, finished Brown 97, Canisius 90.