NCAAB
Bradley
1-2
Coppin State
1-2
Win Probability
Bradley travels to Coppin State with the simulation favoring the Braves decisively. The model projects a low-scoring affair that will be decided in the paint and on the boards, where Bradley's size should prove decisive. Coppin State's Nate Santos has a 68% chance to exceed 14 points, while Bradley's Malevy Open projects to clear 11 rebounds in 55% of outcomes—controlling that battle is where the game turns. In similar matchups where the model has leaned this strongly, the favored side won 92% of the time. For Coppin State to pull the upset at home, the Eagles would need an efficient shooting night and to keep Bradley off the glass.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | COPP | EV | BRAD | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | +280 | -12.8% | -360 | +1.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +290 | -11.8% | -375 | +0.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +232 | -17.5% | -393 | +0.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 135.5 | -110 | -2.6% | -110 | -2.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 135.5 | -110 | -2.6% | -110 | -2.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 135.5 | -110 | -2.6% | -110 | -2.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 135.5 | -125 | -5.3% | -125 | -4.7% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 80.4%
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AccuScore's simulation makes Bradley 80% to beat Coppin State (20%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Bradley the more likely winner at 80%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Coppin State a 20% chance of beating Bradley, against 80% for Bradley. Coppin State are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Bradley (0-2 so far) project to finish 14.3–14.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Coppin State (0-2 so far) project to finish 6.7–22.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley | 14.3–14.7 | 8% | 9% |
| Coppin State | 6.7–22.3 | 4% | 4% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Bradley and Coppin State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Coppin State have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).