Central Connecticut
1-2
Sacred Heart
2-1
Win Probability
Central Connecticut travels to Sacred Heart in a matchup where the simulation favors the home side decisively. The Pioneers project to score 72.1 points, with guard play likely to shape the outcome—how efficiently Central Connecticut executes on the road will determine whether they can keep pace with Sacred Heart's projected 78.0. On games where AccuScore has leaned this strongly toward the home team, that side won 68% of the time across 2,196 graded contests. For Central Connecticut to pull the upset, they would need to exceed their scoring projection and force Sacred Heart into a lower-efficiency night than the model anticipates.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | SHU | EV | CCSU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -220 | +0.7% | +180 | -7.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -220 | +0.7% | +180 | -7.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -236 | -0.4% | +168 | -9.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | 148 | -110 | +1.6% | -110 | -6.1% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 69.7%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Sacred Heart 70% to beat Central Connecticut (30%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Sacred Heart the more likely winner at 70%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Sacred Heart a 70% chance of beating Central Connecticut, against 30% for Central Connecticut. Sacred Heart are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Central Connecticut (1-2 so far) project to finish 11.3–15.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 18% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Sacred Heart (1-1 so far) project to finish 15.7–15.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Connecticut | 11.3–15.7 | 12% | 18% |
| Sacred Heart | 15.7–15.3 | 10% | 9% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Central Connecticut and Sacred Heart come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Central Connecticut have won 1 of their last 3 (W-L-L, most recent first).
Sacred Heart have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).