NCAAB
Maryland Eastern Shore
1-3
Rhode Island
3-0
Win Probability
Rhode Island hosts Maryland Eastern Shore in a matchup the simulation favors decisively. The Rams project to 83.3 points, built around depth that should control the pace, while the Hawks are projected at 59.6 and will struggle to generate consistent offense on the road. Maryland Eastern Shore's scoring burden falls on a backcourt that has not yet found rhythm in a 1-3 start. On games shaped like this one—where the model's preference runs this strong—it has won 97 percent of the time across 607 graded contests. For the Hawks to stay within the projection, they would need to shoot efficiently from outside and force Rhode Island into uncharacteristic turnovers.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | URI | EV | UMES | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -20000 | -0.9% | +3500 | -8.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -10000 | -0.7% | +3500 | -8.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -9122 | -0.6% | +2171 | -23.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -12.1% | -110 | +7.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -12.1% | -110 | +7.6% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Rhode Island 98% to beat Maryland Eastern Shore (2%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Rhode Island the more likely winner at 98%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Rhode Island a 98% chance of beating Maryland Eastern Shore, against 2% for Maryland Eastern Shore. Rhode Island are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Maryland Eastern Shore (0-3 so far) project to finish 7.8–21.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Rhode Island (3-0 so far) project to finish 18.1–11.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 10% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore | 7.8–21.2 | 5% | 5% |
| Rhode Island | 18.1–11.9 | 4% | 10% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Maryland Eastern Shore and Rhode Island come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Maryland Eastern Shore have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Rhode Island have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).