NCAAB
Loyola Maryland
1-2
Towson
1-2
Win Probability
Towson hosts Loyola Maryland in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the home side. The Tigers' depth should prove decisive: Towson's projected contributions span multiple scoring threats, while Loyola Maryland will need its key players to overcome the travel disadvantage and stay within striking distance. In games where AccuScore has leaned this strongly toward one side, that team has won 92% of the time across 793 graded matchups. The Greyhounds' path to an upset runs through forcing Towson into the kind of offensive drought the home side hasn't consistently produced, since even a modest Towson performance aligns with the projection here.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | TOW | EV | L-MD | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -1200 | -1.9% | +720 | -4.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -1200 | -1.9% | +725 | -3.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | -1100 | -1.6% | +700 | -5.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -1200 | -1.9% | +750 | -2.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -1274 | -2.1% | +814 | +1.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 138.5 | -115 | -0.7% | -105 | -3.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 138.5 | -115 | -0.7% | -105 | -3.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | 138.5 | -115 | -0.7% | -105 | -3.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 138.5 | -115 | -0.7% | -105 | -3.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 138.5 | -110 | +0.3% | -110 | -4.8% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Towson 89% to beat Loyola Maryland (11%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Towson the more likely winner at 89%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Towson a 89% chance of beating Loyola Maryland, against 11% for Loyola Maryland. Towson are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Loyola Maryland (0-2 so far) project to finish 11.6–16.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Towson (1-2 so far) project to finish 16.9–13.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 14% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loyola Maryland | 11.6–16.4 | 7% | 7% |
| Towson | 16.9–13.1 | 16% | 14% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Loyola Maryland and Towson come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Loyola Maryland have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Towson have won 1 of their last 3 (W-L-L, most recent first).